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Peluang CLARITY Act Naik ke 43% - Tapi Nasib Regulasi Kripto AS Kini Tersandera Debat Hukuman Pejabat

CLARITY Act Odds Rise to 43% - But US Crypto Regulation Stalls Over Official Ethics Enforcement Debate

The United States Senate is racing against an August 7 deadline before the summer recess begins. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, or CLARITY Act, is currently held hostage by a heated debate: who has the authority to enforce a ban on government officials holding significant crypto assets.

Tensions have reached an impasse. Democrats insist that enforcement authority must be held by state attorneys general. On the other side, the White House and Republicans want control to remain with the federal U.S. attorney general.

The Most Comprehensive Ethics Rule in History

The asset ownership ban is designed to bind all branches of government, from the president and vice president to all members of Congress. The White House claims Donald Trump agreed to a draft they described as the most comprehensive and sweeping ethics rule in history. However, as of publication, the official text of the agreement has not been delivered to Democrats.

The absence of the official text has fueled suspicion. Trump and his family are known to hold significant interests in the crypto sector, including a stake in the World Liberty Financial entity. This fact has led Democrats to openly allege potential corruption behind the contentious battle over law enforcement authority.

Market Reaction and the Burden of New Rules

Markets immediately priced in the uncertainty in Washington. On the Polymarket platform, the odds of the CLARITY Act passing plummeted to 31% before climbing back to 43% after news emerged that Trump accepted the ethics rules. This sentiment briefly pushed Bitcoin near $67,000, though it subsequently retreated due to US-Iran tensions. Positive sentiment also spilled over to Coinbase and Circle shares, which surged 10% on reports of the bill’s progress.

Amid the unresolved debate, Democrats proposed inserting prediction market policies into the CLARITY Act. This move is seen as potentially derailing the entire legislative process. In a House Agriculture Subcommittee hearing, attorney Carl Kennedy testified that the CFTC is currently too understaffed to oversee prediction markets and digital assets. The CLARITY Act was originally expected to grant additional authority for that supervisory function.

The Final Test in September

Even if the Senate breaks the deadlock before August 7, the bill still requires House approval when lawmakers reconvene in September. Fresh hurdles await: the House is currently dealing with internal divisions within the Republican coalition that could slow the measure’s momentum.

The new rules may be nearly finished on paper, but without an agreement on the law enforcement framework to oversee them, the regulation remains vulnerable to last-minute political deadlock. Reported by CoinDesk.


Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile and carry significant risk. Always do your own research (DYOR) and never invest more than you can afford to lose.

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