The CLARITY Act, a crypto bill that has doubled in size to over 630 pages since its initial draft emerged in May 2025, faces a crucial cloture vote in the US Senate on September 15, 2026. On prediction market Polymarket, the odds of the CLARITY bill becoming law this year stand at just 24%. However, the probability of the bill clearing the cloture hurdle is seen as significantly higher, as it requires only 60 affirmative votes to advance the legislation to the amendment and open floor debate phase.
The bill’s latest text includes a 14-page addition specifically directing the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The two regulatory agencies are tasked with determining whether controlling parties of “non-decentralized financial trading protocols” must comply with full securities, commodities, and anti-money laundering (AML) requirements.
Stalled Ethics Requirements
The central sticking point revolves around the CLARITY Act’s latest draft declining to include major overhauls to ethics provisions for elected officials - a non-negotiable demand set by Democrats as a condition for their support. In direct response, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer called Democratic senators to a meeting on Sunday to discuss their stance. These ethics rules, alongside ongoing debates over stablecoin yield limits and safe harbor protections for decentralized developers, continue to drain support for the bill.
What Will Trump Decide on His Crypto Empire?
Addressing the Senate stalemate, President Trump reportedly summoned his advisors over the weekend. The discussions centered on whether the president would agree to tighter restrictions on his multi-billion-dollar crypto empire to accommodate the opposing party’s ethics demands. Amid the ongoing negotiations, optimistic signals emerged from administration insiders, with White House crypto advisor Patrick Witt posting a short message reading, “bad day to be a Clarity Act doomer.”
A Decisive Week for Policy Direction
Crypto media outlet Altcoin Daily claimed that this sequence of events could make this the biggest week in crypto history. The claim comes as the CLARITY vote timing coincides with the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and several other positive market developments.
For market participants, advancing the bill to the amendment phase would prove that establishing a formal regulatory framework remains on track this year. Conversely, failing to reach the 60-vote threshold would leave the 630-page draft stalled in limbo. Reported by Cointelegraph.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile and carry significant risk. Always do your own research (DYOR) and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
